Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Eller 53.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Evans
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
53.8% (865)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.1% (21)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
52.6% (137)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Evans
Eller
Home
49.4% (336)
56.4% (486)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Evans
Eller
P1
55.8%
55.1%
P2
51.7%
55.3%
P3
48.2%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |