Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Eller 52.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Evans
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Evans
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
52.8% (742)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
67.6% (34)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
46.2% (156)
-0.1%
On power play, Eller has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Evans
Eller
Home
53.7% (581)
54.5% (448)
Away
50.5% (556)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Evans
Eller
P1
54.6%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
50.9%
P3
52.3%
53.4%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |