Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.2%). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Eller 51.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Evans
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
52.8% (650)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
69.2% (13)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
45.5% (88)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Evans
Eller
Home
55.1% (541)
52.6% (340)
Away
50.8% (581)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Evans
Eller
P1
51.8%
52.4%
P2
53.3%
54.1%
P3
53.8%
50.0%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jake Evans |