Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Evans
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Evans
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
42.4% (675)
+12.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.5% (42)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.0% (8)
-6.1%
On power play, Evans has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Evans
McTavish
Home
49.4% (336)
41.9% (372)
Away
54.8% (314)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Evans
McTavish
P1
55.8%
47.2%
P2
51.7%
36.2%
P3
48.2%
43.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |