Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Beniers 42.9% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 87.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 70.7%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Evans
Beniers
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Evans
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
4
Evans
Beniers
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
42.3% (879)
+12.2%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
40.3% (72)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
44.4% (18)
-0.5%
On power play, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
49.4% (336)
43.8% (495)
Away
54.8% (314)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
55.8%
43.3%
P2
51.7%
45.6%
P3
48.2%
38.2%
OT
100.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |