Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Beniers 49.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 58.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 96.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 90.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Evans
Beniers
Last 6: Evans 6-0 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Beniers
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
48.9% (833)
+7.3%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
58.3% (36)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
50.0% (32)
+5.4%
On power play, Evans has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
55.3% (374)
52.4% (460)
Away
57.1% (317)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
58.5%
48.4%
P2
55.7%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |