Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Beniers 47.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 58.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 75.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Evans
Beniers
Last 8: Evans 6-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Evans
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Beniers
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
47.3% (945)
+7.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
51.7% (145)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
23.8% (21)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
53.7% (581)
49.6% (565)
Away
50.5% (556)
45.2% (546)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
54.6%
48.0%
P2
50.0%
49.0%
P3
52.3%
46.5%
OT
46.7%
23.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Jake Evans |