Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Beniers 46.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 70.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Evans
Beniers
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
7
Evans
Beniers
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
14
6
Evans
Beniers
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
46.6% (3,796)
+7.2%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
47.8% (360)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
41.4% (111)
+5.7%
On power play, Evans has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
53.4% (2,593)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
54.0%
47.4%
P2
50.9%
47.1%
P3
52.0%
45.7%
OT
46.5%
34.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |