Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 76.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Evans
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Evans
Zibanejad
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
4
Evans
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Zibanejad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
50.9% (913)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
59.0% (39)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
37.5% (160)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Evans
Zibanejad
Home
53.7% (581)
51.1% (536)
Away
50.5% (556)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Evans
Zibanejad
P1
54.6%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
52.3%
50.7%
OT
46.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |