Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Geekie 52.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Evans
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
53.2% (615)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
44.4% (36)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
44.4% (18)
-1.4%
On power play, Evans has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
52.1% (503)
55.0% (331)
Away
47.0% (423)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
50.5%
53.9%
P2
47.7%
56.0%
P3
51.3%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |