Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Geekie 49.3% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 59.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 54.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Evans
Geekie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
49.9% (505)
+4.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
0.0% (6)
+58.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
48.4% (93)
-4.5%
On power play, Evans has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
49.4% (336)
50.0% (314)
Away
54.8% (314)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
55.8%
51.3%
P2
51.7%
46.9%
P3
48.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%