Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Geekie 47.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 87.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.0%
Neutral zone
Geekie 59.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 87.8%
12.2%
87.8%
Evans
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Evans
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
45.7% (352)
+8.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
63.2% (19)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
33.3% (3)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
55.1% (541)
48.5% (165)
Away
50.8% (581)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
51.8%
48.5%
P2
53.3%
45.1%
P3
53.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |