Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Geekie 44.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Evans
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Evans
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
43.7% (584)
+10.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
47.1% (68)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
50.0% (8)
-3.9%
On even strength, Evans has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Evans
Geekie
Home
53.7% (581)
45.3% (329)
Away
50.5% (556)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Evans
Geekie
P1
54.6%
41.2%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
52.3%
46.2%
OT
46.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |