Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Evans
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
44.3% (271)
+10.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
77.8% (18)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
31.7% (41)
+14.4%
On power play, Cates has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Evans
Cates
Home
53.7% (581)
52.0% (148)
Away
50.5% (556)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Evans
Cates
P1
54.6%
42.7%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
52.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |