Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Greig 44.5% (+12.6%)
Offensive zone
Greig 71.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 71.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 50.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Evans
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
38.8% (103)
+15.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.0% (5)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
0.0% (1)
+43.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
49.4% (336)
37.7% (53)
Away
54.8% (314)
41.1% (56)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
55.8%
41.7%
P2
51.7%
39.3%
P3
48.2%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
39.4%