Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Greig 45.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 87.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 60.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 69.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Evans
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Evans
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Evans
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
45.2% (414)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
28.6% (14)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
28.6% (21)
+17.5%
On power play, Evans has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
53.7% (581)
46.4% (196)
Away
50.5% (556)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
54.6%
40.8%
P2
50.0%
46.4%
P3
52.3%
43.9%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |