Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Greig 48.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 75.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 56.2%
Neutral zone
Greig 60.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Evans
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Evans
Greig
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Evans
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
4
Evans
Greig
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
3
4
Evans
Greig
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
48.5% (1,133)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
56.8% (74)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
46.5% (172)
+0.6%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
53.4% (2,593)
49.8% (681)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
54.0%
46.3%
P2
50.9%
51.2%
P3
52.0%
48.8%
OT
46.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |