Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Greig 53.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 57.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 50.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Evans
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Evans
Greig
Last 9: Evans 3-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Evans
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
3
Evans
Greig
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Greig
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
53.6% (280)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
61.3% (31)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
56.5% (69)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Evans
Greig
Home
55.1% (541)
56.2% (185)
Away
50.8% (581)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Evans
Greig
P1
51.8%
52.8%
P2
53.3%
51.6%
P3
53.8%
59.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |