Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs McLeod 47.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 82.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Evans
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Evans
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
47.8% (448)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
48.1% (52)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
36.0% (25)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Evans
McLeod
Home
52.1% (503)
46.6% (253)
Away
47.0% (423)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Evans
McLeod
P1
50.5%
43.9%
P2
47.7%
45.9%
P3
51.3%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |