Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs McLeod 50.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 72.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Evans
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.3% (628)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
68.3% (41)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
30.6% (49)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Evans
McLeod
Home
53.7% (581)
51.5% (394)
Away
50.5% (556)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Evans
McLeod
P1
54.6%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
47.0%
P3
52.3%
54.3%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jake Evans |