Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs McLeod 47.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 70.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 90.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Evans
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Evans
McLeod
Last 10: Evans 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Evans
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
9
0
Evans
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
49.2% (796)
+7.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
44.8% (87)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
43.3% (263)
+12.1%
On power play, Evans has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Evans
McLeod
Home
55.3% (374)
49.2% (575)
Away
57.1% (317)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Evans
McLeod
P1
58.5%
52.8%
P2
55.7%
45.1%
P3
53.9%
45.6%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |