Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Strome 44.4% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 64.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 80.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Evans
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
43.0% (788)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
47.9% (96)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.0% (34)
-6.1%
On even strength, Evans has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
49.4% (336)
42.6% (486)
Away
54.8% (314)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
55.8%
41.0%
P2
51.7%
47.8%
P3
48.2%
42.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |