Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 90.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 80.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Evans
Strome
Last 10: Evans 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Evans
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
2
Evans
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
44.1% (6,839)
+9.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
49.3% (854)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
41.5% (410)
+5.6%
On power play, Evans has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
53.4% (2,593)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
54.0%
44.0%
P2
50.9%
45.3%
P3
52.0%
44.3%
OT
46.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |