Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Strome 46.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 55.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 74.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
46.4% (371)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
43.3% (97)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
55.6% (18)
-9.5%
On power play, Evans has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
53.7% (581)
47.6% (225)
Away
50.5% (556)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
54.6%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
47.6%
P3
52.3%
45.2%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |