Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Strome 42.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 88.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 72.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Evans
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Evans
Strome
Last 8: Evans 3-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Evans
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Evans
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
41.2% (1,040)
+13.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
43.0% (151)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
51.4% (35)
-3.3%
On power play, Evans has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Evans
Strome
Home
55.1% (541)
40.1% (581)
Away
50.8% (581)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Evans
Strome
P1
51.8%
41.4%
P2
53.3%
42.9%
P3
53.8%
40.5%
OT
38.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jake Evans |