Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.4%). Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 52.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 56.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Evans
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Evans
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
48.9% (352)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
81.3% (16)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
42.2% (45)
+0.8%
On power play, Carrick has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Evans
Carrick
Home
52.1% (503)
46.9% (192)
Away
47.0% (423)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Evans
Carrick
P1
50.5%
48.1%
P2
47.7%
50.0%
P3
51.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |