Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Evans
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Evans
Stamkos
Last 6: Evans 0-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Evans
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Evans
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Evans
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
55.9% (499)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
56.3% (126)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
58.3% (12)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Evans
Stamkos
Home
53.7% (581)
55.3% (349)
Away
50.5% (556)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Evans
Stamkos
P1
54.6%
57.0%
P2
50.0%
59.2%
P3
52.3%
51.5%
OT
46.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |