Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Evans
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
55.3% (628)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
55.1% (216)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
40.2% (87)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Evans
Stamkos
Home
49.4% (336)
55.5% (499)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Evans
Stamkos
P1
55.8%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
53.8%
P3
48.2%
55.9%
OT
100.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%