Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Gourde 49.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 72.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Evans
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Evans
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Evans
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Evans
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
49.1% (847)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
79.5% (44)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
39.5% (81)
+4.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Evans
Gourde
Home
49.4% (336)
50.1% (491)
Away
54.8% (314)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Evans
Gourde
P1
55.8%
54.7%
P2
51.7%
45.0%
P3
48.2%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |