Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 54.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Evans
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Evans
Gourde
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Evans
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
3
Evans
Gourde
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
57.4% (376)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
39.9% (554)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Evans
Gourde
Home
53.4% (2,593)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Evans
Gourde
P1
54.0%
49.9%
P2
50.9%
47.4%
P3
52.0%
47.5%
OT
46.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |