Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Evans
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
51.2% (469)
+3.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
42.9% (21)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
37.5% (48)
+10.6%
On power play, Evans has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Evans
Gourde
Home
55.1% (541)
47.8% (301)
Away
50.8% (581)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Evans
Gourde
P1
51.8%
47.3%
P2
53.3%
53.4%
P3
53.8%
48.6%
OT
38.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |