Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Guentzel wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.4% vs Poehling 47.0% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 56.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 74.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Guentzel
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (20)
45.1% (437)
-0.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.4% (39)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
61.5% (13)
+38.5%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Guentzel is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Guentzel shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Poehling
Home
56.3% (16)
46.6% (232)
Away
44.4% (9)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Guentzel
Poehling
P1
20.0%
43.9%
P2
57.1%
49.1%
P3
80.0%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%