Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 50.0% vs Poehling 46.2% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 72.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 81.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Guentzel
Poehling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (13)
46.5% (269)
-0.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.4% (139)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Guentzel is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Guentzel shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Poehling
Home
75.0% (8)
45.2% (177)
Away
25.0% (8)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Guentzel
Poehling
P1
62.5%
47.7%
P2
50.0%
44.4%
P3
33.3%
44.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%