Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Poehling 50.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 88.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 82.5%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 57.4%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Guentzel
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Guentzel
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Guentzel
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
52.6% (622)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
58.3% (12)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
39.8% (103)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Poehling
Home
49.3% (201)
53.2% (393)
Away
42.6% (183)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Guentzel
Poehling
P1
49.6%
50.9%
P2
45.6%
56.2%
P3
41.6%
46.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |