Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Benn 59.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Lowry
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lowry
Benn
Last 7: Lowry 1-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
5
Lowry
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Lowry
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
62.6% (479)
-13.3%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
58.4% (190)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
58.1% (43)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lowry
Benn
Home
50.2% (671)
60.5% (349)
Away
47.8% (709)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Lowry
Benn
P1
48.4%
60.8%
P2
50.1%
60.1%
P3
47.8%
62.4%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |