Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Benn 49.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Benn
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Benn
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Ryan
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
49.8% (297)
+9.3%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
49.5% (97)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
37.5% (24)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
57.0% (398)
48.5% (227)
Away
59.5% (358)
49.7% (191)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
56.2%
51.4%
P2
56.9%
40.4%
P3
61.1%
55.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |