Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.2%). Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Benn 54.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 73.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Ryan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ryan
Benn
Last 6: Ryan 2-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
4
Ryan
Benn
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
55.3% (709)
+4.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.3% (127)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
47.3% (55)
-4.1%
On power play, Benn has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Ryan
Benn
Home
56.7% (254)
56.2% (443)
Away
55.0% (258)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Ryan
Benn
P1
56.9%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
59.2%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |