Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Benn 54.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 54.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Evans
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Evans
Benn
Last 7: Evans 5-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Evans
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Benn
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
55.3% (709)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
58.3% (127)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
47.3% (55)
-4.3%
On power play, Benn has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Benn is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Evans
Benn
Home
52.1% (503)
56.2% (443)
Away
47.0% (423)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Evans
Benn
P1
50.5%
55.4%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
51.3%
55.6%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jake Evans |