Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 49.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 56.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Benn
Staal
Last 7: Benn 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
56.7% (750)
-6.9%
Power Play
49.5% (97)
62.5% (120)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
46.4% (153)
-8.9%
On power play, Staal has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
48.5% (227)
58.8% (522)
Away
49.7% (191)
52.7% (501)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
51.4%
60.8%
P2
40.4%
55.9%
P3
55.5%
51.7%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |