Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Staal 54.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Staal
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Benn
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
57.0% (1,017)
-1.1%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
57.7% (26)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
45.1% (286)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
57.3% (267)
54.3% (667)
Away
54.6% (262)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
54.3%
56.2%
P2
55.7%
57.0%
P3
58.1%
49.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |