Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Staal 55.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Benn
Staal
Last 7: Benn 0-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Benn
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Benn
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Benn
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
56.3% (1,115)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
61.2% (67)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
52.1% (292)
+4.0%
On even strength, Benn has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
64.4% (433)
58.3% (705)
Away
55.8% (432)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
61.8%
54.5%
P2
59.6%
58.2%
P3
59.2%
54.1%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |