Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Staal 57.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 79.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Benn
Staal
Last 6: Benn 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Benn
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
58.9% (1,096)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
68.4% (57)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
51.8% (222)
+6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
60.5% (349)
57.0% (646)
Away
62.0% (363)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
60.8%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
62.4%
62.0%
OT
83.3%
70.4%
Final 5 min
62.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |