Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Staal 56.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Benn
Staal
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
2
Benn
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
53.4% (73)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
49.1% (171)
-1.8%
On power play, Benn has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
56.2% (443)
59.0% (578)
Away
54.2% (448)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
55.4%
57.1%
P2
54.1%
60.9%
P3
55.6%
55.8%
OT
71.4%
20.8%
Final 5 min
58.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |