Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +20.6% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Cates 40.4% (+20.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 92.6%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 81.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Benn
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Benn
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
40.4% (841)
+21.4%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
42.4% (66)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
32.7% (147)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Benn
Cates
Home
64.4% (433)
38.2% (566)
Away
55.8% (432)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Benn
Cates
P1
61.8%
40.5%
P2
59.6%
42.4%
P3
59.2%
35.3%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
62.7%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |