Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 77.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 59.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Benn
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Benn
Cates
Last 6: Benn 3-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Benn
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
44.3% (271)
+18.3%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
77.8% (18)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
31.7% (41)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Benn
Cates
Home
60.5% (349)
52.0% (148)
Away
62.0% (363)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Benn
Cates
P1
60.8%
42.7%
P2
60.1%
42.9%
P3
62.4%
48.5%
Final 5 min
62.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |