Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Cates 45.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Benn 50.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 64.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 58.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Benn
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
45.4% (712)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
42.2% (102)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Benn has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Benn
Cates
Home
47.4% (38)
46.3% (423)
Away
47.6% (42)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Benn
Cates
P1
32.0%
46.3%
P2
67.9%
47.1%
P3
40.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%