Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Cates 45.1% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 94.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 55.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 70.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Benn
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Benn
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
46.7% (912)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
33.9% (56)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
35.0% (137)
+18.1%
On power play, Benn has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Benn shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Benn
Cates
Home
57.3% (267)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.6% (262)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Benn
Cates
P1
54.3%
48.0%
P2
55.7%
42.3%
P3
58.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
59.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |