Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 48.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 72.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (61)
47.2% (654)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
45.0% (20)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
32.2% (87)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
47.4% (38)
44.1% (322)
Away
47.6% (42)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
32.0%
42.4%
P2
67.9%
49.8%
P3
40.7%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |