Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 50.3% vs Gourde 45.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 81.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 50.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Benn
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (52)
47.1% (463)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
36.4% (11)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
29.9% (67)
+70.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +70.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
55.6% (27)
42.3% (215)
Away
47.4% (38)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
35.0%
44.8%
P2
66.7%
49.1%
P3
47.6%
40.1%
Final 5 min
61.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |