Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 86.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Benn
Gourde
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
2
Benn
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Benn
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
49.1% (847)
+12.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
79.5% (44)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
39.5% (81)
+16.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
64.4% (433)
50.1% (491)
Away
55.8% (432)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
61.8%
54.7%
P2
59.6%
45.0%
P3
59.2%
49.4%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |