Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 91.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 76.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Benn
Gourde
Last 7: Benn 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
5
0
Benn
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
48.0% (914)
+14.6%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
54.2% (48)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
43.9% (123)
+14.2%
On even strength, Benn has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
60.5% (349)
50.2% (512)
Away
62.0% (363)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
60.8%
50.0%
P2
60.1%
45.3%
P3
62.4%
48.6%
OT
83.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
62.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2023 | OT | 01:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |